K.F.Lee

Routinize your model, capture randomness, and build unique access to information

Overview

1. Books, books, books
2. Handing open channel information on the web
3. Routinized information input model
4. Capturing randomness
5. Establishing personal access

In the previous article, we discussed the first and second points. Next, we’ll talk about advanced issues such as how to structure and routinized your daily information intake, how to capture the randomness, and how to build your own non-public access.

Information obtained from public channels can be treated as lagging info in making subsequent judgments. Public information is a thing that has already happened. Therefore, when you need to make a judgment that requires a high degree of timeliness, you cannot treat info from public channels as unrealized news, or you will make a serious cognitive mistake.

Usually, before something is made public on a large scale, it will be made known on a small, non-public scale. This should be considered common sense.

The high-level people often have their own front-line access to information, which is an important asset of a person. Because many gains often come from a large information gap. Therefore, the continuous construction and upgrading of their own access to information reflect the integration of a person’s resource network. Once the channel is established, its credibility will be much higher than the public one. At the same time, the reason why it is called one of the most valuable assets for individuals is its construction difficulty and the quality gap is also great.

The wood that holds together is born from the grass. Statistically speaking, there are very few people who have built valuable private information channels. But it also means that once established, the gap is very huge. Building and operating channels and networks is a long-term goal. As the capital for compound interest to be effective, time is on our side.

常规化你的模型，添加随机性，建造独有的信息获取渠道

Overview

1. 书，还是书
2. 处理网路公开渠道信息输入
3. 将信息输入模型重新设计及常规化
4. 捕获随机性
5. 建立独有的非公开信息获取渠道

上一篇文章我们讨论了第一、二点。接下来我们来谈论如何将日常的信息摄入结构化、常规化，如何在你的信息摄入与处理模型中捕获随机性，以及如何建立自己的非公开信息获取渠道等进阶问题。

关于公开渠道获得的信息，其实在做后续的判断中，都可以当作滞后信息处理。公开信息是已然发生的信息。因此，在你需要做一个对于时效性要求较高的判断时，不能讲公开渠道的信息当成是未然信息，不然就犯了严重的认知错误。

通常，在一件事情被大范围的公开前，其将在一个小范围的非公开场合被获知。这一点应该被视为常识。而“高段位”者常常拥有自己的一线信息获取渠道，这是一个人重要的“资产”。因为许多收益常常因大量的信息差而来。因此，持续建造、升级属于自己的信息获取渠道是一个人资源网络整合的体现。一旦渠道被建立，其可信程度将远远高于公开的信息网络。但同时，之所以称之为对个人最具价值的资产体现之一，其建造难度和质量差距也是极大的。

合抱之木，生于毫末。统计上讲建立了有价值的信息渠道的人是极少数的。但也意味着，一旦建立了，拉开的差距也是巨大的。渠道和网络的搭建和经营是我们长期的高价值的事业。作为复利得以发挥效力之处，时间站在我们这边。

It’s a precondition for making quality decisions

Overview

1. Books, books, books
2. Handing open channel information on the web
3. Routinized information input model
4. Capturing randomness
5. Establishing personal access

Content

COVID seems to have become the butterfly wings that stirred the world. Many Extremistan occurred in sequence. News and opinions from all sources flooded into view. In the deluge of information, it is important to create a systematic program to improve the quality of information intake. This is the first step in making good decisions.

Instead of expecting to directly persuade an adult, it is better to change the environment he is in.

1. Books, books, books

Here are some of my suggestions.

• Good insights are in the books.
  
  Since books are mostly tied to authors by their real names, this is a better guarantee of confidence in the content than other source of information.
  
  
• Books are mostly more systematic knowledge.
  
  Books generally discuss ideas relatively completely and show source of information, arguments, etc. It has many benefits for you to perceive and disperse the topic.
  
  
• Long time is the best sifter.
  
  Classic and even basic books that have been sifted through over time are apples of wisdom that should not be ignored.
  
  Looking back to my learning process for large chunks of knowledge, books were always my first starting point. And often the most critical one (of course, how to start also requires a set of methods, and is one of the topic I will write about later). Especially in some traditional issues, you find a book that refreshes your mindset, congratulations, you have found a “node of the network”, a valuable node. Then dig into it!

2. Handing information input from open channels on the internet

Online open channels are likewise not to be ignored, and many of them possess the advantages of breaking through physical limitations, timeliness, and diversity. The efficiency of people’s use of this channel is characterized by a barbell distribution and a high degree of differentiation. There is a lot to learn about how to use information from open channels on the internet. We will find an opportunity to go through it in detail in a subsequent article.

First, I will list a few points.

• Always find a more open information environment, not the other way around.
  
  I thought about this when I chose my main publishing platform. In many countries and regions, the information people post is heavily censored. Many users post content that is owned by the platform side, which is subject to strict political regulation. This has a serious impact on the vitality of production and the quality of information posted.
  
  As individuals, strategies are as follows.
  
  (Producers)
  -Kits like VPN, languages, etc.
  -Don’t rely on single platform
  -Regularly archive content offline
  
  (Consumers)
  -Kits like VPN, languages, etc.
  -Choose more open platforms to access info and consider more regulated platforms as watch pools
  
  
• Be cautious with second-hand information
  
  Much info is presented to the public only after a passive first screening. Market news, for example, often lags and is intentionally released at some time. Therefore, raise caution. If there is a high demand for information such as timeliness, any news seen in public can be treated as second-hand information.
  

• Some general knowledge and experience in communication science will make your information screening more effective.
  
  The study about information and communication has been around for a long time. Therefore, as mentioned earlier, it should first be considered that this is not a new field. Therefore, many concept in the field of communication science are useful for establishing a basic understanding of human-information interaction. For example, the discussion of propaganda, persuade, source, and medium.
  
  
• Sources are very important.
  
  For information obtained from public channels, it is very important to directly find the source first. There are several skills as followed.
  
  -It is crucial to find the source, as opposed to second-hand information or rewriting of ideas
  -Find the source by using references and some search skills
  -Pay attention to cross-checking between sources
  
  
• Pay attention to the people behind the content of the information platform.
  
  A large amount of online information is now mostly published through social platforms, and the cost of publishing is greatly reduced also leading to a wide gap in the information quality. But if used properly, this neutral tool will give you a huge advantage. I think the most important thing for the social platform information access is to judge with probability and focus on people. As an example,
  
  –Pay attention to social identity information. Information about industry posted by a real name account (meaning tied to a people’s real social identity) that you follow on Twitter has a higher confidence than a non-real name account.
  
  -Notice on positions. In game scenarios, people from neutral backgrounds (meaning no obvious bias of interest) are more credible.
  
  -Marking people valuing their reputation. For some people, reputation is an asset that needs to be carefully maintained. If you have identified this group of people, increase the credibility of their words from an average level.
  
  -People opposing the previous one, mark them as well. Reducing their credibility significantly from the average level.
  
  -Identify advertising content. This is also related to the second point. We assume that the publisher of the information must be motivated. Such as interest, psychological, etc. Couple with the business model of web2 social platforms, most of the seemingly neutral content may imply an intention. These are the key thing you need to correct in your perception.

Never waste your time. Remember, you will become what you pay attention to lifetime.

The next article will focus on the following points

改善信息输入质量是做出高质量决策的前置条件

Overview

1. 书，还是书
2. 处理网路公开渠道信息输入
3. 常规化信息输入模型
4. 捕获随机性
5. 建立独有的非公开信息获取渠道

Content

新冠疫情似乎成为了煽动世界的蝴蝶翅膀。大量的极端斯坦事件依次发生。各个渠道消息和观点大量涌入视野。噪声纷杂。期间，我也深刻认识到有策略地改造信息输入，以及将其常规化是如此重要。在信息洪流中，建立一套系统方案去提升信息摄入质量。这是我们做出高质量决策的第一步。

与其奢望直接说服一名成年人，不如去改变他身处的环境。

下面我的一些建议

1. 书，还是书

• 书是质量更高的观点。由于书籍大多和作者进行实名绑定，相比其他信息来源，这一点更能保证内容的置信度。
  
• 书籍大多为较为系统的知识。书籍一般会将观点进行相对完整地论述，并展示信息来源和论据等，这对你去认知和发散话题有大量的好处。
  
• 长久的时间是最好的筛选者。经过长时间筛选的经典书籍甚至基础书籍是不容忽视的珠玉。
  
  回顾我对于大块知识的学习过程，书籍总是我的第一个起点。也常常是最关键的那个（当然，如何开始也需要一套方法，也是我后面会写作的话题之一）。尤其是在一些传统的问题，你总能站在巨人的肩膀上去认知。那么，当你找到了一本refresh your mindset的书籍，恭喜你，你找到了“网络的一角”，一个有价值的结点。接下来像你打造的模型一样挖掘吧！

2. 处理网路公开渠道信息输入

网络公开渠道同样是不容忽视的，大量的渠道拥有突破物理限制、时效性和多元化的优势。人们对这一渠道的利用效率具有杠铃分布的特点，区分度极高。对于如何利用网路公开渠道的信息，此处学问很大。后续文章再找机会详细进行梳理。先罗列几点：

• 一些传播学的相关常识和经验会让你的信息筛选提效。人们对信息传播的研究由来已久。因此如前文提到的，首先应判断这不是一个“新领域”。因此，传播学领域的许多概念对于我们初步建立“人和信息互动”的基本认知有很大助益。比如对于宣传/说服/信源/媒介的讨论。
  
• 信源是十分重要的。重点讨论的点为“信源”。对于公开渠道获得的信息，拿到后首先条件反射定位“信源”是分外重要的。其中有几个技巧：
  
  -相比二手信息和观点转述，找到一手信息、信息的初始源头是关键的
  -可以通过参考文献，一些信息搜索技巧来找到信息的源头
  -注意信源间的相互验证
  
  
• 关注信息平台内容背后的人，关注语境。大量网络信息如今多通过社交平台发布，发布成本大大降低也导致信息质量差距悬殊。但是利用得当，这一中性工具会给你巨大的信息优势。对于社交平台的信息获取，我认为最重要的就是概率出发，“以人为本”。举例而言：
  
  -关注社会身份信息。你在twitter上关注的一个实名账号（指跟人的真实社会身份绑定）发布的关于行业的信息，其置信度高于非实名账户；
  
  -关注立场。在一个博弈场景中，中立背景的人（指没有明显的利益倾向）更可信；
  
  -标记那些珍惜自己名誉的人。于某些人而言，名誉是一种值得谨慎维护的财富。如果你判别出了这一群人，请把他们的话的可信度从平均值上进行提高；
  
  -上一条的相反情况，也请标记出。将他们后续发言的可信度在平均值上大大拉低；
  
  -惯性识别出软文。这一点其实也和第二点立场相关。我们假设信息的发布者一定是具有动机的。如利益动机、心理动机等。结合web 2社交平台的商业模式，大部分看似“中立”的内容可能都暗含立场。这些都你在认知中去调正判断。
  
  
• 永远找到更开放的信息环境，而不是相反。
  
  在选择我的主要发布平台时，我就对这一点进行了思考。在许多国家和地区，人们发布的信息受到了严重的审查。许多用户发布的内容所有权属于“平台方”，而平台方受到严格的政治监管。这都对平台用户的生产活力和信息质量造成严重的影响。
  
  作为个体，应对策略有：
  
  （生产者）
  -科学上网工具/语言等技能包
  -不要依赖单一的运营方
  -将内容定期存档
  
  （受众）
  -科学上网工具/语言等技能包
  -选择更加开放的平台获取信息，而将封闭平台视为“观察池”
  
  
• 谨慎对待外在的第一道筛选后的信息。
  
  许多信息是经过被动的第一道筛选后才呈现到公开场合的。比如市场消息，常常是滞后的 ，有意在一些时刻被放出的。因此，提高谨慎。如果对于信息的时效性等要求较高，可以将公开来源看到的任何消息当滞后的二手信息处理。
  
  我个人早已将信息的处理能力视为数字化生存的元技能之一
  

永远不要浪费你时间。记住，你会成为你关注的东西。

下篇将关注以下几点，敬请期待